Sunday, October 24, 2004

Slate Says Kerry's Pulled Ahead... 
... Or at least is dutifully reporting that the Democrats are finally making that claim. But look how desperately they have to torture the data to come to that conclusion!
So why the confidence? Greenberg cited two internal numbers from the part of the poll that focused on "persuadable" voters. That group includes undecided voters, Bush and Kerry supporters who say their minds remain open, and a third group, Bush voters who say they want the country to go in a significantly different direction. The first number Greenberg cited was this: Fifty-seven percent of the persuadable voters in the Democracy Corps poll said they want to know how a candidate will "make the economy and health care better for people," while only 32 percent want to know "how you'll make us safe." The other number Greenberg highlighted: Given a choice between "I'm comfortable with changing to a new person if he has the right priorities" and "Bush has made us safer and I'm reluctant to change," 54 percent of persuadable voters said they were comfortable with changing, and 45 percent said they were reluctant. The responses to those two questions, Greenberg said, show that Kerry has "an audience" ready to listen to his message. He just has to "seal the deal."

Well, yeah. But 'sealing the deal' is extremely difficult.

Reminds me of a famous punchline:

"With this much horseshit, there's got to be a pony in here somewhere!"

Splash, out


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