Saturday, July 10, 2004
What? Me Worry? The Army on Personnel
Here's a look from Newsweek's T. Trent Gegax at the challenges facing the Army personnel planners in the months ahead.
(Why is it the only people who initialize their first name seem to be writers? T.S. Eliot. T. Coraghessian Boyle (whom everyone really calls "Tom," anyway?), W.S. Merwin. e. e. cummings. Etc.
My reaction: Gegax needs to adjust his sight picture a bit to score a lethal hit, but his rounds are hitting close enough to have a suppressive effect on the target.
Target, repeat. It's obvious to me--and certainly obvious to our enemies--that we are operating with very little land power by way of a strategic reserve. Our premier rapid response infantry divisions, the 101st and the 82nd, are being run ragged already from back-to-back deployments. The 10th Mountain has been tapped. The 25th Division is excellent, but untried, and held in reserve for Korea. We still have a few enhanced infantry brigades left in the Guard, but they cannot be considered 'rapid response.' Nor can our ponderous pachyderm reserve component tank divisions, who, when I was a tank company XO in the Kentucky National Guard, could barely nurse their tanks from the motor pool to Yano range and keep them shooting for two weeks (40% operational was a GOOD day for us!) thanks to years of underresourced OMS shops and spare parts budgeting.
The chaotic global arena isn't like a roulette wheel. The odds of the marble landing on red don't change when you bet the farm on black. Rather, in the international struggle for power, influence, and resources, the more you bet the farm on one course of action, the more likely it is your enemies will work to take advantage of your weakness--and often in subtle and unpredictable ways.
Lost. Shot so wild observer cannot pick up the round. When it comes to mobilizing, soldiers either show up or they don't. When it comes down to 'boots-on-the-ground,' foxhole strength is not so easily manipulated as Enron's balance sheets, or--dare I say--circulation figures at certain major dailies. And there is no evidence that military planners are guilty of misfeasance, malfeasance, nonfeasance, or any other feasance I can think of. There's no serious allegation of criminal fraud. So at ease with the cheap shots, will ya? You're giving magazine writers a bad name. How about toning down the snark and toning up the smart?
Some guys will believe anything. The Marine Corps has been used this way, because its logistics are very well suited to being used this way. But there was nothing 'short-term' about the Marine Expeditionary force that fought at Belleau Wood. There was nothing 'short-term' about the island-hopping campaign from Guadalcanal to Tarawa to Iwo Jima and beyond.
There was nothing "short-term" about the brilliantly executed turning movement at Inchon. And the fact that the Marines were still there when the Chicoms came screaming over the Yalu to foolishly surround Marines at Chosin implies there was nothing short-term about that, either.
There was nothing "short-term" about Khe Sanh, and there was nothing "short-term" about decades of involvement in our nation's small wars in Haiti and Central America, either.
The Marines have been at the Army's side--and from time to time (but not so often as they like to brag about) setting the standard for the Army to follow (Guadalcanal, Chosin), in nearly all of our nation's major conflicts, and have a legitimate role to play in any light infantry conflict.
Of course, thanks to their seaborne mobility and ability to sustain themselves from ships with minimal or nonexistant port facilities, they are a big part of our nation's strategic reserve. So we commit them in strength at our peril elsewhere. But that's a legitimate risk-reward calculation on the part of Pentagon planners. There is no reason to suggest that tapping the USMC for 6-12 months deployments in Iraq or anywhere else is at all illegitimate.
If I were a marine, I'd be insulted at the suggestion.
Lost. Is this guy even firing in the same sector? Did he get his grids mixed up? Soldiers are individuals. But they fight as combined arms teams. They fight as units. You wanna tell a unit they're going to war, but then strip them of their most experienced soldiers in the last two months before they hit the LZ? Well, ok. But don't think you're looking out for the best interests of soldiers when you're doing that. Because you're not looking out for them. You're screwing them. And indirectly, you're probably going to cost lives.
Ditto for a reluctance to mobilize the IRR, which has already forced reserve component units to go to Iraq without their full load of medics, cooks, NBC specialists, and any number of critical skills. (Ha! Don't laugh at the 'cooks' part, people! Because a lot of them are older in the RC, they're among my most experienced troops. Many of them are infantry. And because of the way light infantry units are organized, they comprise a significant chunk of a battalion's firepower, thanks to their Mk 19's and .50 Cal machine guns. You lose your cooks, you lose a chunk of your FTCP's defense, and you lose a chunk of your heavy weapons expertise. Plus, the chow suffers, and support operations suffer across the board. I went to war short five of twelve cooks, because of our refusal to tap the IRR in OIF 1. My battalion fought short of medics for much of the fight, because of our refusal to mobilize the IRR. Our infantry battalions were 20-30% understrenth by the end of the fight, because of our refusal to mobilize the IRR.
Watch out for that IRR=backdoor draft theme. Every time you see it, you know a reporter doesn't really understand his beat.
Another lost round. These are not "former soldiers." These are STILL soldiers. They're MOS Qualified and fully capable. And the assertion that they "chose not to sign up for the Reserves" is false. They DID choose to sign up for the reserves when they signed the enlistment contract. And given a choice between the Selected Reserve and the Individual Ready Reserve to fulfill that commitment, they chose the Individual Ready Reserve.
Doubtful. Why is this a problem? Why is he associating this measure with Ken Lay's Enron? Does this mean that the 'troops-to-teachers' program is fraudulent, too? Tell me again why this isn't a good idea?
TARGET! Repeat! Fire for Effect!!!!!
Another lost round, for reasons set forth earlier. They ARE in the Reserves, genius! That's what the second "R" in "IRR" stands for!!! How many times do we need to go over this!
Check fire! Check Fire!!!!! You're firing at the wrong people! Check your coordinates! Check your powder charge! Check your FDC computer! Fire your FDC chief or battery XO! Do whatever you have to do.
Every member--I say again, EVERY member, of our Individual Ready Reserve volunteered for his commitment, exactly the same as the members of the troop program units of the Guard and Selected Reserve. When a unit mobilizes for war, our troop program soldiers are no less 'forced to serve' than an IRR soldier. Indeed, by not mobilizing the IRR, you simply force the troop program soldiers to do even more. Cover more shifts on the radio or on guard duty. You force them to cover a wider sector of fire. You can man fewer weapons systems. You force commanders on the ground to take more risks with security. Your troops operate more fatigued and make more--and sometimes deadly--mistakes.
Think you're being sensitive protecting the IRR? You're not being sensitive. You're being stupid.
Well gee. Have you checked? If true, it sounds like a great reason to replace him with an IRR soldier to me!
Target! Fire for effect!
IANAL, but my understanding is that it's not legal. If this has been a pattern, then that calls for a story of its own.
Not that this writer's offering any real solutions. Actually, he seems to be opposing every remedy in sight. Except the impossible ones, of course. Expanding the end strength of the Army will not solve these overused reservists' problems for a couple of years. And they will only exacerbate the officer shortages he mentions later in the piece. If true, the shortage of available field grade officers will make a rapid expansion of the Army exceedingly difficult. If you've got 50 LTC billets open already, who's going to lead the new units?
Well, no shit, Sherlock. What's the use in having a reserve component if it DIDN'T pick up the slack???
Apparently, the ideal here is to have a reserve that is never utilized. Boy, THAT'S cost effective! Hellooooooo large standing army! Thomas Jefferson, where are you?
Well, there's selective disclosure for you. If you looked at the study, you'd find that a third are worse off, a third are about the same, and a third are actually financially better off on active duty than they are at home. Of course, the reporter hasn't checked it out himself.
I'm not sure why it would be the military's responsibility to make these guys whole. If you accept responsibility for these guys losing out on their civilian pay, why not accept responsibility for providing welfare payments to poorer reservists, too, to put them all on the same footing? Oh, what's that? Because that would be a stupid idea? Nebbermind!
Believe me...it's not the ones makeing a ton more money in their civilian careers that I worry about.
Here's to bloody wars and quick promotions.
Hellooooo, McFly!!!!!
It promotes lieutenants and captains. (Woohoo!!!)
Of course, we could use some help from the chattering classes. They could start by bitch slapping Ivy League university presidents until they open their college campuses up to ROTC programs and produce a share of officers for our nations military that adequately reflects the share of benefits of our free society from which these populations so richly partake.
No shit, genius!!! There's an idea! But didn't you just get finish impugning their legitimacy as a source for fixing manpower problems? Didn't you just tell us they might not make great soldiers? Didn't you just equate them with Enron's phantom earnings?
Cry me a river. I remember I was pretty astounded when, as a reserve component officer struggling to pay my bills with a lousy civilian job, and wanting to get on active duty even during a captain's shortage (The Army, in 1999, was not accepting reserve officers into the active rolls), I would encounter active duty captains who were getting paid full salary for a year and a half to two years to do nothing but go to grad school. Especially when we were losing excellent officers in the reserve components because their jobs prevented them from finishing their bachelor's degrees.
I thought it was getting pretty cushy. Army's MBA fetish was starting to ruin the Army.
Again, nobody was all that worried about similar "career enhancements" for reserve officers in the years preceding this war. We were on our own. Not that that's a terrible thing. We were just that much more cost-efficient for our country.
Target!
Splash, out
Jason
(Why is it the only people who initialize their first name seem to be writers? T.S. Eliot. T. Coraghessian Boyle (whom everyone really calls "Tom," anyway?), W.S. Merwin. e. e. cummings. Etc.
My reaction: Gegax needs to adjust his sight picture a bit to score a lethal hit, but his rounds are hitting close enough to have a suppressive effect on the target.
Really, there’s no personnel crisis in the Army. All the scurrying around for people to wear olive drab, and all that creative reshuffling of the decks? They’re stressed, but they’re not breaking. At least, that’s what they say. The question is this: how long can the Army tread water? The answer depends on the whimsy of future events. The Army seems to be banking on a future of peace, given that it calls its personnel problems a “short-term” bind that doesn’t require permanently expanding the service.
Target, repeat. It's obvious to me--and certainly obvious to our enemies--that we are operating with very little land power by way of a strategic reserve. Our premier rapid response infantry divisions, the 101st and the 82nd, are being run ragged already from back-to-back deployments. The 10th Mountain has been tapped. The 25th Division is excellent, but untried, and held in reserve for Korea. We still have a few enhanced infantry brigades left in the Guard, but they cannot be considered 'rapid response.' Nor can our ponderous pachyderm reserve component tank divisions, who, when I was a tank company XO in the Kentucky National Guard, could barely nurse their tanks from the motor pool to Yano range and keep them shooting for two weeks (40% operational was a GOOD day for us!) thanks to years of underresourced OMS shops and spare parts budgeting.
The chaotic global arena isn't like a roulette wheel. The odds of the marble landing on red don't change when you bet the farm on black. Rather, in the international struggle for power, influence, and resources, the more you bet the farm on one course of action, the more likely it is your enemies will work to take advantage of your weakness--and often in subtle and unpredictable ways.
The measures they’ve used to assemble whole units for deployment may amount to the sort of “aggressive accounting” that Corporate America used (feloniously, in many cases) to get itself through the tough times.
Lost. Shot so wild observer cannot pick up the round. When it comes to mobilizing, soldiers either show up or they don't. When it comes down to 'boots-on-the-ground,' foxhole strength is not so easily manipulated as Enron's balance sheets, or--dare I say--circulation figures at certain major dailies. And there is no evidence that military planners are guilty of misfeasance, malfeasance, nonfeasance, or any other feasance I can think of. There's no serious allegation of criminal fraud. So at ease with the cheap shots, will ya? You're giving magazine writers a bad name. How about toning down the snark and toning up the smart?
These measures include tapping the Marine Corps, typically only used for short-term, rapid deployments
Some guys will believe anything. The Marine Corps has been used this way, because its logistics are very well suited to being used this way. But there was nothing 'short-term' about the Marine Expeditionary force that fought at Belleau Wood. There was nothing 'short-term' about the island-hopping campaign from Guadalcanal to Tarawa to Iwo Jima and beyond.
There was nothing "short-term" about the brilliantly executed turning movement at Inchon. And the fact that the Marines were still there when the Chicoms came screaming over the Yalu to foolishly surround Marines at Chosin implies there was nothing short-term about that, either.
There was nothing "short-term" about Khe Sanh, and there was nothing "short-term" about decades of involvement in our nation's small wars in Haiti and Central America, either.
The Marines have been at the Army's side--and from time to time (but not so often as they like to brag about) setting the standard for the Army to follow (Guadalcanal, Chosin), in nearly all of our nation's major conflicts, and have a legitimate role to play in any light infantry conflict.
Of course, thanks to their seaborne mobility and ability to sustain themselves from ships with minimal or nonexistant port facilities, they are a big part of our nation's strategic reserve. So we commit them in strength at our peril elsewhere. But that's a legitimate risk-reward calculation on the part of Pentagon planners. There is no reason to suggest that tapping the USMC for 6-12 months deployments in Iraq or anywhere else is at all illegitimate.
If I were a marine, I'd be insulted at the suggestion.
“stop-loss,” which effectively puts a permanent hold on many soldiers’ retirements
Lost. Is this guy even firing in the same sector? Did he get his grids mixed up? Soldiers are individuals. But they fight as combined arms teams. They fight as units. You wanna tell a unit they're going to war, but then strip them of their most experienced soldiers in the last two months before they hit the LZ? Well, ok. But don't think you're looking out for the best interests of soldiers when you're doing that. Because you're not looking out for them. You're screwing them. And indirectly, you're probably going to cost lives.
Ditto for a reluctance to mobilize the IRR, which has already forced reserve component units to go to Iraq without their full load of medics, cooks, NBC specialists, and any number of critical skills. (Ha! Don't laugh at the 'cooks' part, people! Because a lot of them are older in the RC, they're among my most experienced troops. Many of them are infantry. And because of the way light infantry units are organized, they comprise a significant chunk of a battalion's firepower, thanks to their Mk 19's and .50 Cal machine guns. You lose your cooks, you lose a chunk of your FTCP's defense, and you lose a chunk of your heavy weapons expertise. Plus, the chow suffers, and support operations suffer across the board. I went to war short five of twelve cooks, because of our refusal to tap the IRR in OIF 1. My battalion fought short of medics for much of the fight, because of our refusal to mobilize the IRR. Our infantry battalions were 20-30% understrenth by the end of the fight, because of our refusal to mobilize the IRR.
Watch out for that IRR=backdoor draft theme. Every time you see it, you know a reporter doesn't really understand his beat.
And calling up the Individual Ready Reserve, former soldiers who chose not to sign up for the Reserves
Another lost round. These are not "former soldiers." These are STILL soldiers. They're MOS Qualified and fully capable. And the assertion that they "chose not to sign up for the Reserves" is false. They DID choose to sign up for the reserves when they signed the enlistment contract. And given a choice between the Selected Reserve and the Individual Ready Reserve to fulfill that commitment, they chose the Individual Ready Reserve.
Now the Pentagon is about to press play on a “blue-to-green” program that entices airmen and sailors to join the Army.
Doubtful. Why is this a problem? Why is he associating this measure with Ken Lay's Enron? Does this mean that the 'troops-to-teachers' program is fraudulent, too? Tell me again why this isn't a good idea?
The Bush administration, demonstrating that they may have a little military-planning foresight after all, has proposed using the Internal Revenue Service to track down IRR soldiers. The IRS plan hasn’t been taken up yet, and an Army spokesman denies it was ever a consideration. That’s hard to believe given that in March the Bush administration sent the proposal to Congress—buried under an “Other Matters” listing—in a package of legislative proposals for the 2005 defense budget. Whatever.
TARGET! Repeat! Fire for Effect!!!!!
The Army says it easily tracked down the 5,600 IRR soldiers it needed. But here’s something to consider. That’s a total of 8,100 IRR soldiers—again, these are people who specifically chose to cut ties with the Army rather than join the Reserves—who have been activated since September 11, 2001.
Another lost round, for reasons set forth earlier. They ARE in the Reserves, genius! That's what the second "R" in "IRR" stands for!!! How many times do we need to go over this!
That's dangerous considering that one of the best arguments against reinstating the draft is that people who are forced to serve don’t always make the greatest soldiers.
Check fire! Check Fire!!!!! You're firing at the wrong people! Check your coordinates! Check your powder charge! Check your FDC computer! Fire your FDC chief or battery XO! Do whatever you have to do.
Every member--I say again, EVERY member, of our Individual Ready Reserve volunteered for his commitment, exactly the same as the members of the troop program units of the Guard and Selected Reserve. When a unit mobilizes for war, our troop program soldiers are no less 'forced to serve' than an IRR soldier. Indeed, by not mobilizing the IRR, you simply force the troop program soldiers to do even more. Cover more shifts on the radio or on guard duty. You force them to cover a wider sector of fire. You can man fewer weapons systems. You force commanders on the ground to take more risks with security. Your troops operate more fatigued and make more--and sometimes deadly--mistakes.
Think you're being sensitive protecting the IRR? You're not being sensitive. You're being stupid.
Early signs of a seriously over-taxed Army turn up at congressional offices. People like Joanne Dorough, a registered nurse in Jacksonville, Fla., bring complaints that are passed up the chain. Dorough claims that her son, Sgt. Ben Dorough, 26, attached to the Army Reserve’s 810th Military Police Company, has served more than his contracted 24 months.
Well gee. Have you checked? If true, it sounds like a great reason to replace him with an IRR soldier to me!
Whether or not it’s legal for the Army to keep Reservists on active-duty status for more than 24 months, which it’s doing by transferring them straight from missions outside of the Iraq area of operations, it points up a problem. The line between the active-duty (“full-time”) soldiers and reserve-component (“weekend warriors”) has disappeared.
Target! Fire for effect!
IANAL, but my understanding is that it's not legal. If this has been a pattern, then that calls for a story of its own.
Not that this writer's offering any real solutions. Actually, he seems to be opposing every remedy in sight. Except the impossible ones, of course. Expanding the end strength of the Army will not solve these overused reservists' problems for a couple of years. And they will only exacerbate the officer shortages he mentions later in the piece. If true, the shortage of available field grade officers will make a rapid expansion of the Army exceedingly difficult. If you've got 50 LTC billets open already, who's going to lead the new units?
A congressional challenger is also critical: Democrat Steve Brozak, a former Republican who retired in May as a lieutenant colonel in the Marine Corps, thinks the administration is running the military into the ground. “It is past the breaking point now,” says Brozak, adding that the reserve component is picking up the slack.
Well, no shit, Sherlock. What's the use in having a reserve component if it DIDN'T pick up the slack???
Apparently, the ideal here is to have a reserve that is never utilized. Boy, THAT'S cost effective! Hellooooooo large standing army! Thomas Jefferson, where are you?
When he was a Marine, Brozak conducted a study of employer support of the Guard and Reserve. “One third of Guard members and Reservists will be irreparably financially affected by the Iraq war,” he said. “We will never be able to make them whole.”
Well, there's selective disclosure for you. If you looked at the study, you'd find that a third are worse off, a third are about the same, and a third are actually financially better off on active duty than they are at home. Of course, the reporter hasn't checked it out himself.
I'm not sure why it would be the military's responsibility to make these guys whole. If you accept responsibility for these guys losing out on their civilian pay, why not accept responsibility for providing welfare payments to poorer reservists, too, to put them all on the same footing? Oh, what's that? Because that would be a stupid idea? Nebbermind!
Believe me...it's not the ones makeing a ton more money in their civilian careers that I worry about.
Now, it’s not like the Army is panicking. But a look at the June 2004 “Infantry Senior Leader Update,” by Lt. Col. Lee Fetterman, the infantry-branch chief of the Army’s Human Resources Command, gives me the impression that the Army is something beyond nervous. “We are short approximately 30 percent in the field grade ranks,” Colonel Fetterman wrote, referring to the senior commanders who lead battalions and brigades. He also wrote that the Army is “experiencing a similar shortage” in captains—there are nearly 50 [lieutenant colonel] billets unfilled at this time and a like number of [major] billets also empty. The institutional Army [is] suffering very badly at all grades.”
The big question: where does the Army come up with experienced manpower to fill its shortages?
Hellooooo, McFly!!!!!
It promotes lieutenants and captains. (Woohoo!!!)
Of course, we could use some help from the chattering classes. They could start by bitch slapping Ivy League university presidents until they open their college campuses up to ROTC programs and produce a share of officers for our nations military that adequately reflects the share of benefits of our free society from which these populations so richly partake.
The Pentagon will have to call up more IRR soldiers
No shit, genius!!! There's an idea! But didn't you just get finish impugning their legitimacy as a source for fixing manpower problems? Didn't you just tell us they might not make great soldiers? Didn't you just equate them with Enron's phantom earnings?
Barring that, some military experts predict that the Army will have to yank officers out its schoolhouses
Cry me a river. I remember I was pretty astounded when, as a reserve component officer struggling to pay my bills with a lousy civilian job, and wanting to get on active duty even during a captain's shortage (The Army, in 1999, was not accepting reserve officers into the active rolls), I would encounter active duty captains who were getting paid full salary for a year and a half to two years to do nothing but go to grad school. Especially when we were losing excellent officers in the reserve components because their jobs prevented them from finishing their bachelor's degrees.
I thought it was getting pretty cushy. Army's MBA fetish was starting to ruin the Army.
That means suspending customary rotations, which will be a hit to morale because it reduces predictability and career advancement and schooling.
Again, nobody was all that worried about similar "career enhancements" for reserve officers in the years preceding this war. We were on our own. Not that that's a terrible thing. We were just that much more cost-efficient for our country.
But, really, there’s no personnel crisis. After all, the Army recently refused enlistment to a perfectly healthy twentysomething. Reason: too much forearm covered with Spider-Man tattoos.
Target!
Splash, out
Jason
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