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Sunday, September 11, 2005

Road networks 
Murdoc has arial photos of the Mississippi coastline.

Parts of it look like it was struck by the 2004 tsunami. Take a look at the bridges. They were obliterated. You would have had to bulldoze your way down what was left of the road network to get into the heart of the disaster area.

This explains most of any delays in getting ground-transported aid from ANYWHERE outside the affected areas into the disaster zone. Forget trucks. Forget rail. THe best you can do for the first couple of days is slingload helicopter loads.

But in order to maximize that capability you have to take them off of the rescue mission.

You simply cannot count on any large scale aid reaching a hurricane zone in anything less than 72-96 hours. It just does not happen, and I don't care who's in charge. The logistical naivete we see among politicians and in the media -- and therefore in the general populace -- is simply startling.

If it happened in Florida or Georgia or the Carolinas, you could probably get it to the downtown areas. But forget about getting it across the Intercoastal to the barrier islands. You cannot count on the bridges being intact after the storm.

If some bridges are intact and some aren't, again, you cannot count on being able to use that crossing to reach the entire coastline, because washed-out roads and debris will prevent lateral movement.

Even I-95 -- a modern interstate federal highway, with six-eight lanes running through South Florida, was washed out at points by Hurricane Frances. Half the highway fell apart in Palm Beach County, well south of the eye when it made landfall.

Fortunately, my unit was able to get through it, through 40 mile-an-hour winds. But the only way we knew we could do that was to send an advance recon of the area. If they couldn't get through, we would have to look for another way.

In this case, the Florida Turnpike was a useful alternate route. But there may be no robust alternative to I-10. And so the hurricane cut off much of the region from the regional FEMA staging area in Atlanta.

This is why we evacuate hurricane zones. No matter how safe a structure you are in, there is a very significant likelihood that the area you are in will be isolated for 96 hours or more. That means no food can get in, no water, no law enforcement. Helicopters can come overhead, but it is very likely that they will not be able to land. You might be able to medevac out someone, but how you gonna call 911? Because if the area's cut off from ground access, you won't see power trucks and telephone crews until the crossings are reestablished.

Meanwhile, incoming ground supplies will have to contend with contraflow plans designed to maximize evacuation. Not resupply.

And think about it: The more desperately the relief supplies are needed, the less likely it is you will be able to get them there.

Normally, we can distribute supplies based on need. But when the logistical systems are degraded, the risk calculus for those within the affected areas changes.

You cannot count on ground-based aid to make it. No matter how much you wring your hands and huff and puff about how 72 hours is "unacceptable," the more you bitch about why they can't do better supporting you from Washington, the more you just show that you are not a serious thinker.

Splash, out

Jason

Comments:
I don't understand.. I thought it was the responsibility of the Federal Government to tuck me in and give me my woobie..

:/

=darwin
 
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Charles
 
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Thanks

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This was very informative.


Thanks
 
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Hi Blogger,

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The explosive nature of the internt and its supercon artists (experienced net-marketers) is singularly responsible for the 98% failure rate of all newbie related online business failures.

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A clever solution to this newbie predicament has been solved by Bill Osterhout's Prosperity Automated System. In here there is no selling, no prospecting, no marketing. No emailling lists here, no advertisements, no phone calls, no no MLMs or chain letters. The PAS system hooks its self to search engines when people search for work at home related information. It sells itself or whatever product you happen to be promoting, closes the sale for you and you get the money. Bill has levelled the playing filled, compelled the newbie to make money or make excuses, while allowing the experienced marketer to feed the system with steroids for enhanced sales.
Everyone closes a sale here within a month or so, getting $3000 per sale. It is here: http://www.MegaWealthy.com/224

I thougth I should help some of your readers who may have given up hope...well now there is!

To your success

Vincent Molelekwa
CEO - Millennium Empires LLC
 
Good postings, and some really useful techniques.

speed reading
 
Hey there, well thought posting. I'm glad to be here. Thanks.

speed reading
 
Some blogs are just too powerful.
Thanks.
Found this site while searching for
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ps I'm having a little trouble sending comments so if I do it twice please excuse me and I apologize.
 
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Blogger,

Are you interested in some
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You are welcome place your link on our site for free.
See free url submission or http://www.quickregister.net. We have a specific
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John

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